The meaning and purpose of the investment in shares after a stock to give the time that you can increase prices in some months. You are not looking for a stock is priced at only $ 5, but want to go up months ago to $ 500 over the next three? Is not it?

So how do you go for an election campaign? What are the factors, the months of stock price to rise in a few short? In this article we will be on the basis of discussion> Equity investing. If you buy a stock are actually buying a small piece of property of the company.

If the company does well, will have its rise, and the company does badly, the share price decline. Investing is so easy. Well, wait, the devil is in the details. How do you know which company is good and a good performance in the future?

Assuming that the company is developing very well, butPrice goes down instead of up. What do you think? Stock prices are determined by markets. Markets are places where buyers and sellers, what you buy to satisfy investors or sell shares call. Now the stock price depends on what investors expect the company's future performance is not close to its current performance. In the short term, stock prices can be irrational and try to understand the reason behind the price volatility maycrazy. But at the price of stocks in companies has long linked to performance des

So the stock price depends on market expectations about future company performance. This point is very important to understand. Think of the initial public offering of Google. The stock price shot in a week, as the expectation of the audience was very high. cooled below the price a bit '. So if people expect a companyvery good performance in the future, although not good at this time, its stock price.

Well, if you look at a company, you look at the results there is a profit, management, IT products, markets, the IT industry and so on, before forming a reasonable expectation of future potential. Sometimes the growth potential of the sector is much more important than the company itself.

For example, in a high growth sector, will be aa generalOutlook for the business' work in this industry share price increase. As soon as the economy and industry leading company!

into action can make a plant more than one. You do not need a brokerage account and you invest your own stock in, however, you can invest in sharesMutual funds and leave the money management and stock picking to professional investors.

Equity Funds offer diversification and professional money management only a moderate cost to you. To keep costs low, invest in no-load equity funds.

Now need a basic guide to help you invest the funds in fundraising has different invest in. To increase diversification, May 3 is to invest in two o. Basically there are two main criteria forEquity fundraising.

First, the Fund will invest primarily in large cap, mid cap or small-cap stocks? Second, is to emphasize growth stocks, value stocks or invest in both (that would be characterized as "core" or "mixture" of funds)?

You now have nine basic categories of equity investment schemes (3×3, above) to choose from. For example, you can start investing with a large-CAP, Blend Stock Fund. You could add a Mid-Cap Growth Fund for diversification.

Now, someDefinitions. A large-cap shares count as General Electric or Wal-Mart. Company's market capitalization (CAP), an increase the number of shares of a company is outstanding times the market price of each share. This (market capitalization) will give you the total market value of the company. Mid-cap stocks are stocks of companies with a lower market value of total and small-cap stocks have lower market value.

Growth stocks have an equity investment in companies Sales and profits growing at a pace faster than the average. Investors buy stocks for growth in the appreciation of the price (with the hope of the stock price to increase significantly) … not for dividends.

value stocks are an investment, the ratio of stocks is more affordable (lower PE) and / or pays a higher dividend than other titles. They are often purchased because they seem to be underestimated (perhaps a bargain).

This blend fund invests in stocks with large> Stock exchange market … Growth and value stocks. A Mid-Cap Growth Fund invests primarily in shares of growth of smaller firms (in terms of market capitalization).

In the collection of equity funds, here are your nine basic choices for diversified general equity funds: Large Cap Blend (core), Large Cap Growth, large-cap value, mid-cap blend, mid-cap growth, mid Cap Value, Small-cap blend, small-cap growth, value small caps.

In general, large-cap blend funds, whicheverSafer. Small-Cap Growth Fund is more risky, but it excellent growth potential in a roaring bull market have.

If we’re to believe the efficient market hypothesis then the shocked stocks price is reflective of all new information so wouldn’t warrant a purchase (based solely on the price shock.) However, if there are exceptions to the EMH, or if it takes time for the price to reach it’s EMH point, then there is value in studying reactions to price shocks.

In this article we’ll study how stocks recover from various levels of price drops in one day. This will help us understand if there is any advantage to purchasing directly after one of these events.

Analysis Setup

The data was based off a group of randomly selected days from the years 2004, 2005 and 2006. The next few days afterwards were then analyzed to build the statistics below.

Stock price was restricted to those above $1. This was done because penny stocks are very volatile and could skew the data. Studying penny stocks is very interesting as well, but a separate concern.

Stock volume was restricted to those above 25,000 on a daily basis. Again, this was done to prevent skews in the data. Low-volume stocks behave differently than larger volume ones.

Buckets were created for easier representation and analysis, based on the amount of the initial price shock. The buckets were chosen as 1-5% drop, 5-10%, 10-20%, and an extra one for all stocks as a comparison.

Note: The selection of the years 2004, 2005 and 2006 as the period for the test has implications we should expect up-front. The market during this period was generally considered bullish we should expect somewhat different results were we to analyze a bearish period.

Tracking price high after the drop

The first part of the analysis was to examine the price highs achieved several days after a significant downward price shock. We’ll check the performance of the stocks in each bucket for several days after the drop.

Here are the average price highs achieved by each bucket 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 days after the initial drop compared to the close on the drop day:

• All stocks: 2%, 1.5%, 1.0%, 1.4%, 1.5%
• 1-5% drop: 2.1%, 1.9%, 1.5%, 1.6%, 1.8%
• 5-10% drop: 3.8%, 3.2%, 2.3%, 2.4%, 2.5%
• 10-20% drop: 4.2%, 3.5%, 7.1%, 6.8%, 9.4%

Analysis

First of all, there are no negative values because we’re looking at the highs. It would be very rare for a stocks highest trade price to never reach it’s close on the previous day, especially during a generally bullish market.

The stark contrast between the 10-20% bucket vs. the others is very surprising. All other categories have a negatively-sloped line but 10-20% has a significant positive slope. If we carried this out further than 5 days we can assume it would achieve a similar slope to the other categories.

Why the swift partial recovery for 10-20%? One point to note is that of all the stocks found in this category their average drop on that initial day was about 12%. We then see them reach an average daily price high of about 9.5% higher than the close on the day of the drop, so that’s about an 80% recovery. One explanation is that often after a large downwards price shock the value investors will come in and start buying at the lower price.

Now, it’s definitely debatable whether analyzing the daily price highs is representative of the true recovery of a stock, so we’ll look at the daily closes next. The highs may be more applicable to active traders, rather than investors.

Tracking price close after the drop

Here are the average price closes by each bucket 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 days after the initial drop compared to the close on the drop day:

• All stocks: 0.2%, -0.2%, -0.5%, 0.0%, 0.1%
• 1-5% drop: 0.15%, -0.1%, -0.5%, -0.15%, 0.0%
• 5-10% drop: 0.1%, -0.5%, -0.9%, -0.7%, -0.7%
• 10-20% drop: -0.4%, -0.7%, 2.6%, 2.5%, 5.9%

Analysis

The only surprise here is that the 5-10% group dropped more than the 1-5% group. This is a bit counter-intuitive since naturally the 5-10% group has more room for recovery. However, it’s definitely feasible that the reasons for the price drops in the different categories would be different. This would obviously affect how willing investors are to pick up the stock after the drop.

Conclusion

The apparently significant ability for a stocks price to recover after a large downward price shock could be a useful addition to the selection process. Keep it in mind when a strong stock takes a bit hit as the market may be emotionally over-reacting to bad news.

Since the price highs, rather than closes, rebounded much more for the 5-10% and 10-20% drop buckets, compared to all stocks, active investors or traders would probably be more likely to take advantage than the average person.

Neil Thier – http://www.marketfilters.com

Neil is a founding member of MarketFilters.com, an innovative technical analysis tool. We offer easy and powerful scanning and filtering of stocks, back-testing, watch lists, and other tools.

One indication that the market is getting into nervous territory is the tendency for traders to jump in and out of high-flying stocks while spending most of their time parked in less volatile issues or cash. It?s called ?rotation.?

When markets are stuck in a funk, chances are good for managers to sell something and simply go to cash. But when the market is like this, they don’t want to miss anything even though they are nervous about the overall market. So they very often sell something and buy something else.

We find evidence by looking at the smaller cap issues. On a day when the big guys are getting cracked over the head, often we see the small issues pick up a few points. That means they don’t want to take their money home, so to speak. They want to stay fully invested, but they don’t want to get killed if something goes wrong.

Have you noticed how analysts do some very interesting things when the market is running full tilt? Sure, they will come out on the high flyers, but you will also see them upgrade paper stocks and energy. There is a reason for that. They want those safer havens looking attractive as they rotate money out of extremely overextended stocks and into something else that has a chance of making even more. If the coast is still clear in a day or two, they can come back into a high flyer for hopefully more short-run profits.

For our money, we?d follow the same type of management style also. If you see the NASDAQ futures down a ton in the morning, consider doing what the Street will do–take some profits out of your big gainers and put them into smaller cap stocks or even safety stocks for a day or so. Chances are good the big guys will be doing the same, and the smaller issues have a good shot at moving up.

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After realizing that is kind of hit or miss, you decide to fire up the ?real? real time news service. Of course, at this point, it hasn?t dawned on you. It is not just the fact that you are not really ?beating? anyone to the news. You begin to realize, even if I do have the news first, what do I do with it?

Have you ever heard of a stock gapping up big on fantastic earnings; then selling off for 2 weeks? We have all seen it. Good news reacted to in a negative way; bad new reacted to in a positive way. Or, good news reacted to in such a positive way, that the stock gaps so far you are not sure what to do. How do you make sense of all this?

First of all, you may want to just turn off the news. Yes, that is correct. You can keep a list of the stocks that are ?in the news? for your watch list if you like. However, you can skip the part about researching the news. This does not sit well with many traders. They feel it is ?their job? to research these things. The truth is, you cannot. We play people?s reactions to the news, not our personal view of what the news is. We do this by looking at charts.

Below are some examples. Two of them resulted in plays. Take a look at what happened, compared to the news. These three were picked because they all solicited a strong view from many traders, even by email. ?Did you know that xyz had bad news today and are playing it?

Take McDonalds on Dec 24, 2003. You may remember the mad cow scare that day. All ?hamburger places? gapped down, and the overwhelming consensus was (even CNBC told us this) that this scare is the end of the American Hamburger. It would be a ?no brainer? to short these stocks, as they are certain to fall more.

Well, if they are certain to fall more, why didn?t they open at that lower price? You see; there are no gifts. The news was out and was digested by the public. What the stock does after that is not a function of ?good or bad? news. It opens at equilibrium; and then the move can be in either direction. The chart pattern (without any concern for the news) was bearish, but it did not form a ?pattern? that we recognize as a trade. No play was made, though there were possibilities for intraday plays once the trend was set. Notice how long the ?bad news? continued to ?hurt? the stock. Why did it go up? Who knows. Well, there were many commentators and analysts that told us the answer after the close. One of the stories was that the shock sent beef prices tumbling, which would reduce the operating costs of fast food restaurants. Now why didn?t we think of that?

Next is Marathon Oil. Here there was little chance for failure. The company was doing a ?secondary offering? or something similar. On the morning in question, they actually came out and priced the stock below the current price (below where it opened even). Certainly this stock had to go down further. Well, this time, the chart showed a pattern we know well; a tactic known as a Gap play. How could a stock go up in this situation? Read the McDonalds paragraph above. All the answers are the same. We don?t understand enough about secondary stock offerings to try to explain it. Or, if we do understand, it is not worth explaining. That is the point. The best way to play this was to have no knowledge of the actual news; just to know the stock was gapping so you can find the play.

Last was a past play on Delta Airlines. This is a favorite because we had the analysts, coming in to help us determine when to buy and sell stocks.

The big news posted was that Delta may have to file for bankruptcy. Well, we guess that means the stock is worth ?zero?? Or is it worth ?asset value?? That day the stock did not go below $4.53. On the next day, we have a revision of Delta Airlines? outlook to ?negative?. The day after that, Moody?s decides it may cut Delta?s ratings. The stock talks bankruptcy, and then analysts downgrade it? Do we need to pay analysts for this keen information and insight? Note, the stock had never traded under the low set on May 10th, the day the news of bankruptcy was released. Notice the volume that came in on that day. Notice that this volume came in after the stock already dropped 66% in four months. Mr. Analyst, you are now down grading the stock? Where were you during this huge fall? Waiting for the company to tell us they are in trouble? This stock was played long on May 12th at $4.67.

News will move stocks. It can be a means of finding stocks to watch and see if any technical patterns form. Do not get caught up in the game of trying to make trades based on your ?analysis? of the news. Everyone is different in how they handle thing. If you have a difficult time with news, we hope this was helpful to you.

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Are you spending your time looking at expense ratios, analyzing Morningstar ratings and searching for funds with low fees and no 12b1 charges? If you are like most people, you know these things in and out. You’ve spent hours evaluating them, and your chosen mutual funds cost little to purchase and maintain. But they still don’t perform to your hopes and expectations.

So, why is this happening? Because this kind of investing focuses on cost as opposed to value.

Investors with this philosophy have usually interviewed numerous advisors. But instead of trying to find someone suitable with a sensible approach, they only want to know who has the lowest fees. That’s like going to the cheapest auto repair shop and getting the best price, but your car still doesn’t run well.

Then there are the investors who call or email me wanting a recommendation on a no load mutual fund. They want one with no 12b1 charge, but they completely ignore the issue of how the fund might perform.

Both these kinds of investors spend their time trying to save pennies and in the process they are losing dollars. Instead of falling into the penny wise, dollar foolish trap, here are some ideas that will assist you in evaluating the end profit rather than just the short term saving.

1. Shift your focus from penny pinching to looking at the big picture: What can a mutual fund or an advisor do for you, not how much does it cost? Why? If you buy a given no load mutual fund at the right time and it gains a tidy 15% for you over a 6 week period, would you really care about the costs? If a mutual fund?or an advisor for that matter?can give you superior performance and an increase of several percentage points over your bargain price pick wouldn’t you pay an extra 0.25%?

2. Consider finding a fee-based investment advisor who uses a facts-based methodology and has a track record indicating those kinds of returns. For example, in my own practice I used a trend tracking approach to get my clients into the market on April 29, 2003. Plus, our research and homework led us to recommending funds that gained anywhere from 11.50% to 22.00% over the following 6 week period. How did you do during that time? Do you think any of my clients care whether one of these funds has a small 12b 1 charge? Or whether they have the lowest expense ratios in the industry? I know they don’t.

The bottom line is to look at costs as balanced by performance and that’s where you find value. Then seek true value not simple savings, enjoy healthy dollar-level returns and don’t sweat the pennies.

About The Author

Ulli Niemann is an investment advisor and has been writing about objective, methodical approaches to investing for over 10 years. He eluded the bear market of 2000 and has helped countless of people make better investment decisions. To find out more about his approach and his FREE Newsletter, please visit: www.successful-investment.com; ulli@successful-investment.com

That said when you have decided on an monetary amount, whether it is $100 or $10,000 you should avoid the temptation to put all of it into one or more Penny stocks. But why you ask? Surely the whole point of putting the money into your stock broking account in the first place is to invest it.

Well yes and no. . . if you have all of your funds invested at the same time then you lose a lot in flexibility. You have few options when faced with the need to respond to a rapidly rising market. Or to profit form a newly acquired piece of information that one or more penny stocks are about to move upwards.

If you have invested all of you cash and your present portfolio is flat, the only way to buy into rising penny stocks market and get a piece of the action is to either. Use ?your own money?, for example money that is not part of your penny stocks investment fund (and is not money that you can afford to lose) a very bad idea. Or to get on the phone to your broker and see if can sell some of your existing shares so that you can buy into the rising penny stocks.

The first is obviously not really a good thing to do and is more akin to gambling than investment. After all if you couldn?t make a profit with the first group of penny stocks, why do think you could with the second. A more likely scenario is that you are throwing good money after bad, except that this time it is not money that you can afford to lose.

The second, though more sensible than the first, is not really what trading penny stocks is all about. The whole point is to be able to buy quickly if you think that a stock is about to rise. T sell quickly, as well, when the market seems to have to have peaked for your penny stocks, so that you can maximize your profit and sell before the market starts to fall.

If you keep a portion of your assets as liquid in your stock broking account, then you have the flexibility to move quickly as the market conditions dictate. A penny stocks trader without the ability to move quickly is likely to be missing out on many lucrative trades. By keeping around a third of your investment fund as cash allows you to buy into a rising market without having to rush into selling any penny stocks that may be under performing at that time.

That way you get to benefit from the rising penny stocks but can also hold onto the non performing or flat ones until they start to rise or you have decided that you need to cut your loses and get rid of them. Either way the point is that you are not rushed into a decision and can decide based on research and rationality, rather than a need for quick cash to fund your next investment.

The ability to move quickly in response to rapidly rising penny stocks can greatly affect your potential for profits in this most volatile of the financial markets. Keeping a portion of your penny stocks fund liquid will help you to achieve profitability and make the success of your investing venture into the world of penny stocks trading more likely to be a profitable one.

Buzz Scott has 12 years of Penny Stock investing. Big profits can be made in Penny Stocks, but there are also many dangers. Find some insider secrets at: http://www.penny-stock-secrets.com

While you were waiting did you happen to notice what is happening to your investment portfolio, your retirement account? For the past 3 years it has needed duct tape and plastic sheeting to protect it from the poison gas coming from Wall Street. The gases, otherwise known as hot air, are the news flashes the brokers have been telling you. Surely you have heard – the market always comes back, hang in there, you are in for the long term and other such noxious odors have paralyzed investors to keep them from selling. There was one breath of fresh air you have not heard from your broker and is the one bit of pure oxygen that could have saved your account. Listen carefully and you might hear – SELL.

It is a word hardly ever uttered on Wall Street, but one which you should add to your vocabulary if you ever plan to make a profit in the stock market. Brokerage companies don’t want you to sell because they don’t make any money with your account if you are in a money market fund. When your stock or mutual fund started down did you get a call? Even when a stock loses 80% or more of its value they then change their recommendation from Buy to Hold – and you know where you are holding it.

Any fool can buy, but it takes a wise man to sell. Bernard Baruch, one of the most famous traders of all time, said, I always sell too soon. He was enjoying himself reading a paper on a park bench while stocks were crashing in 1929. The DOW lost 89% of it value. We have not been that unfortunate – yet. However, the NASDAQ has dropped almost 80%. If you owned any of those tech stocks and did not have a trailing stop-loss order you have given back all your profit.

It takes more than duct tape to protect yourself from death and destruction and that goes double for the information from brokers and financial planners. If they have kept you in the market these past 3 years with the Buy and Hold mantra don’t you think it is time you plastered some duct tape on them so you can escape that bad gaseous advice? You might not think yourself to be knowledgeable about investing, but surely you would have had enough sense to sell when a stock or fund loses 20, 30, 40% or more of its value. At 50% loss it means it has to go up 100% to get to even. You don’t want to get even; you want to get rich.

Before that poison gas from Wall Street completely kills your account get some fresh air – SELL.

Al Thomas’ book, If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy It! has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

al@mutualfundstrategy.com; 1-888-345-7870

Let?s understand from the beginning that few politicians understand basic economics. Just because they work in Washington does not make them experts about the laws that have been passed or those they vote upon. Politicians do not create jobs or wealth. Don?t feel you are the only one who can?t make head or tail out of government statistics.

The most misunderstood debate today is about OUTSOURCING. ? sending our jobs overseas. From March of 2001 to January of 2004 manufacturing jobs declined by 2.6 million ? a loss of 17%. BUT during that same period there was an increase of 17% in worker productivity and only a loss of 3% in jobs. More goods produced with fewer workers. Those jobs did not go overseas ? only 300,000 did. The majority were lost to better machines and will never reappear. If employment efficiency had not increased we would have even higher unemployment today.

That is why unions hate new machines. Loss of jobs. If a company wants to remain competitive they must be able to produce at the least cost or you won?t have a job. Do you think you would have your job today if your company continued to operate they way they did 5 years ago? Employment continues to increase every quarter even though we lose about 7% or 8% of U.S. jobs every quarter.

Has anyone told you that thousands of foreign companies have opened plants in the U.S? We don?t hear about the small ones only the BMWs, Toyotas and Hondas. According to Peter Drucker, management consultant, we import more jobs than we export. Jobs increased by millions after NAFTA and because of NAFTA.

Will these layoffs continue? It depends upon your industry sector. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics there were more mass layoffs (50 or more) during this January than any previous January in history – 239,454 ? 1/3rd of those are in manufacturing.

The U.S. is still not producing enough new jobs to keep us even; that requires more than 150,000 new hires each month.

Political demagoguery blames everyone and anyone who is in office. Whoever the president is is the one to blame ? rightly or wrongly. Every industrialized country today has a problem with excess production capacity and is doing weird things to keep their workers on the production line. We are not the only ones with job losses. That does not make the guy in the unemployment line feel any better.

It is our productivity edge that has kept as many jobs as we have now or it would be a lot worse. Free trade is the answer and not tariffs on other country?s goods. As I have written before tariffs are hidden taxes on the consumer and benefit no one. They have NEVER worked in all of history and make more problems than they solve.

Don?t listen to the political rhetoric. You may not like what I have said, but maybe it will start you thinking.

Al Thomas’ book, If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy It! has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

1-888-345-7870; al@mutualfundstrategy.com

Most discussions in the past have centered exclusively on performance comparisons. Even rating services like Morningstar have occasionally chimed in with their opinion. However, rather than focusing only on performance, there are some other issues I consider far more important: