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	<title>Finance:Stocks-Mutual-Funds &#187; hot stocks</title>
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		<title>Why Cash Is Your Best Asset With Penny Stocks</title>
		<link>http://benitses-arches.com/why-cash-is-your-best-asset-with-penny-stocks/</link>
		<comments>http://benitses-arches.com/why-cash-is-your-best-asset-with-penny-stocks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Mar 2010 16:11:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mutual-Funds</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hot stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Life Insurance Quote]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[penny stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[penny stocks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[When you start your Penny stocks trading career you first need to decide how much you are willing to invest. You need to remember that this is not a ?sure-fire? income opportunity and that it is possible that you may lose everything, so be sure to not to invest more than you can afford to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When you start your Penny stocks trading career you first need to decide how much you are willing to invest. You need to remember that this is not a ?sure-fire? income opportunity and that it is possible that you may lose everything, so be sure to not to invest more than you can afford to lose.</p>
<p>That said when you have decided on an monetary amount, whether it is  $100 or $10,000 you should avoid the temptation to put all of it into one or more Penny stocks. But why you ask? Surely the whole point of putting the money into your stock broking account in the first place is to invest it.</p>
<p>Well yes and no. . .  if you have all of your funds invested at the same time then you lose a lot in flexibility. You have few options when faced with the need to respond to a rapidly rising market. Or to profit form a newly acquired piece of information that one or more penny stocks are about to move upwards.</p>
<p>If you have invested all of you cash and your present portfolio is flat, the only way to buy into rising penny stocks market and get a piece of the action is to either. Use ?your own money?, for example money that is not part of your penny stocks investment fund (and is not money that you can afford to lose) a very bad idea. Or to get on the phone to your broker and see if can sell some of your existing shares so that you can buy into the rising penny stocks.</p>
<p>The first is obviously  not really a good thing to do and is more akin to gambling than investment. After all if you couldn?t make a profit with the first group of penny stocks, why do think you could with the second. A more likely scenario is that you are throwing good money after bad, except that this time it is not money that you can afford to lose.</p>
<p>The second, though more sensible than the first, is not really what trading penny stocks is all about. The whole point is to be able to buy quickly if you think that a stock is about to rise. T sell quickly, as well, when the market seems to have to have peaked for your penny stocks, so that you can maximize your profit and sell before the market starts to fall.</p>
<p>If you keep a portion of your assets as liquid in your stock broking account, then you have the flexibility to move quickly as the market conditions dictate. A penny stocks trader without the ability to move quickly is likely to be missing out on many lucrative trades. By keeping around a third of your investment fund as cash allows you to buy into a rising market without having to rush into selling any penny stocks that may be under performing at that time.</p>
<p>That way you get to benefit from the rising penny stocks but can also hold onto the non performing or flat ones until they start to rise or you have decided that you need to cut your loses and get rid of them. Either way the point is that you are not rushed into a decision and can decide based on research and rationality, rather than a need for quick cash to fund your next investment.</p>
<p>The ability to move quickly in response to rapidly rising penny stocks can greatly affect your potential for profits in this most volatile of the financial markets. Keeping a portion of your penny stocks fund liquid will help you to achieve profitability and make the success of your investing venture into the world of penny stocks trading more likely to be a profitable one.</p>
<p>Buzz Scott has 12 years of Penny  Stock investing. Big profits can be made in Penny Stocks, but there are also  many dangers. Find some insider secrets at: http://www.penny-stock-secrets.com</p>
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		<title>The FOMC And The Cyclical Bull Market</title>
		<link>http://benitses-arches.com/the-fomc-and-the-cyclical-bull-market/</link>
		<comments>http://benitses-arches.com/the-fomc-and-the-cyclical-bull-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Sep 2009 02:07:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mutual-Funds</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cyclical Bull Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hot stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Life Insurance Quote]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[penny stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock options]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[technical analysis]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The cyclical bull market, which began in March 2003 (or October 2002 by some estimates), within the structural bear market, that began in March 2000, was fueled by monetary policy. The FOMC began an easing cycle in January 2001 when it lowered the Fed Funds Rate from 6.50% to 6%. The FOMC continued to lower [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The cyclical bull market, which began in March 2003 (or October 2002 by some estimates), within the structural bear market, that began in March 2000, was fueled by monetary policy. The FOMC began an easing cycle in January 2001 when it lowered the Fed Funds Rate from 6.50% to 6%. The FOMC continued to lower the Fed Funds Rate, until it reached 1% in June 2003, and kept there for a year. In June 2004, a tightening cycle began. The Fed Funds Rate reached 5.25% in June 2006 (to neutral from accommodative), and then the FOMC paused in August for the first time in over two years. Consequently, there has been a great deal of speculation that the tightening cycle is over (a restrictive stance won&#8217;t be taken) and perhaps an easing cycle will begin in 2007.</p>
<p>Below is a daily chart of NYSI (red line and right scale) and SPX (black line and left scale). NYSI made lower highs, while SPX made higher highs over the cyclical bull market. Currently, NYSI is near the top of the downtrend line, which indicates SPX is near an intermediate-term top, although NYSI pinpoints lows better than highs. Below the price chart is the NYMO 50-day MA, which is at a level similar to recent SPX intermediate-term tops. However, sentiment indicators, including the CPC 50-day MA (above price chart), which fell from an all-time high, and AAII and ISEE (not shown) show a great deal of pessimism, which is SPX bullish. It seems, almost everyone is expecting SPX to fall.</p>
<p>So, monetary policy and intermediate-term technical indicators are market bearish, while sentiment indicators are market bullish. Also, mid-September through much of October is historically the weakest market period. Consequently, there are major mixed signals. Nonetheless, the intermediate-term uptrend will turn into a downtrend at some point before the end of the year, if it hasn&#8217;t turned already. Given December and January are bullish months, there may be an intermediate-term downtrend in September through November. However, sentiment indicators suggest an SPX trading range, although a quick rise to 1,350 and/or a capitulation below 1,200 shouldn&#8217;t be ruled out. Unfortunately, there&#8217;s little clarity at this point.</p>
<p>Free chart available at http://www.peaktrader.com Forum Index Market Forecast category.</p>
<p>Arthur Albert Eckart is the founder and owner of PeakTrader. Arthur has worked for commercial banks, e.g. Wells Fargo, Banc One, and First Commerce Technologies, during the 1980s and 1990s. He has also worked for Janus Funds from 1999-00. Arthur Eckart has a BA &#038; MA in Economics from the University of Colorado. He has worked on options portfolio optimization since 1998.</p>
<p>Mr Eckart has developed a comprehensive trading methodology using economics, portfolio optimization, and technical analysis to maximize return and minimize risk at the same time and over time. This methodology has resulted in excellent returns with low risk over the past four years.</p>
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